Survey Shows Bawumia Dominates While NDC Voters Favor Ken Agyapong

A fresh political analysis by Africa Policy Lens has revealed shifting allegiances and emerging dynamics ahead of Ghana’s 2028 general elections.

The report spotlights growing divisions and surprises within the New Patriotic Party (NPP) as supporters weigh their options for the next presidential candidate.

Bawumia Commands NPP Loyalty

Former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia has emerged as the clear favourite among NPP supporters. The survey shows that 70.6% of respondents from the opposition party prefer him to lead the NPP into the 2028 elections. His main challenger, Kennedy Agyapong, trails behind with just 21.4% support within the party.

Agyapong Resonates With NDC Base

In a surprising turn, the survey also explored the views of National Democratic Congress (NDC) supporters, and here, Kennedy Agyapong finds an unlikely boost. The report reveals that 48.4% of NDC respondents would back Agyapong over Bawumia, who received 35.3% support from the same group. This crossover appeal signals an intriguing cross-party dynamic that could influence the broader electoral landscape.

Why Bawumia Remains the NPP’s Best Bet

Supporters of Bawumia point to several key advantages. Many believe he gives the NPP the strongest shot at reclaiming power. His northern background is viewed as a strategic asset that enhances his national appeal and positions the NPP as a more inclusive political force.

The report highlights his strong standing across 12 of Ghana’s 16 regions, with the most robust support in Ashanti, Eastern, and Greater Accra regions crucial to securing a national mandate.

Regional Map: Divided Loyalties

While Bawumia dominates in most parts of the country, Kennedy Agyapong holds sway in three regions: Central, Volta, and Western North. The Ahafo Region is evenly split between the two. Notably, Bawumia maintains a commanding lead in the five northern regions, including Savannah, Northern, North East, Upper East, and Upper West, where even NDC voters show signs of warming up to his candidacy.

Challenges Ahead For Bawumia

Despite his national appeal, Bawumia faces hurdles in traditional NDC strongholds. The Volta Region and parts of Western North will require targeted messaging and stronger grassroots mobilization if the NPP hopes to make inroads there.

What Lies Ahead

As the NPP prepares for its internal primaries and gears up for the 2028 contest, both internal and cross-party sentiments will be pivotal. While Bawumia leads with party loyalty and national reach, Agyapong’s growing popularity among NDC supporters adds an unexpected twist that could reshape campaign strategies in the months ahead.